Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.633831 0.709296 0.791159 0.886720 0.995407 1.115409 1.258251
2025-02-16 0.516174 0.619183 0.739934 0.892622 1.081516 1.308774 1.604755
2025-02-23 0.455342 0.571875 0.715715 0.907699 1.159299 1.480648 1.926711
2025-03-02 0.397495 0.517503 0.671778 0.886740 1.181826 1.577499 2.156346
2025-03-09 0.366503 0.492535 0.660492 0.903695 1.251812 1.739737 2.488919
2025-03-16 0.333024 0.459831 0.634119 0.895016 1.282318 1.846705 2.751297
2025-03-23 0.310158 0.439076 0.621394 0.902886 1.335287 1.988993 3.080519
2025-03-30 0.285007 0.412421 0.597207 0.890456 1.354886 2.080649 3.338380
2025-04-06 0.265100 0.391555 0.579325 0.885123 1.383649 2.187692 3.631788
2025-04-13 0.239827 0.360449 0.543192 0.847475 1.356059 2.199082 3.761177
2025-04-20 0.228303 0.349550 0.537221 0.857234 1.406684 2.344893 4.143645
2025-04-27 0.218220 0.340046 0.532504 0.868235 1.459782 2.499317 4.559684
2025-05-04 0.207369 0.328741 0.524353 0.873313 1.504107 2.644750 4.982063
2025-05-11 0.197079 0.317618 0.515657 0.876670 1.545658 2.789590 5.423374
2025-05-18 0.189805 0.310938 0.513791 0.891657 1.609558 2.982589 5.988155
2025-05-25 0.177173 0.294216 0.493362 0.871095 1.603943 3.039337 6.271694
2025-06-01 0.171576 0.289272 0.493126 0.887716 1.671582 3.248899 6.917520
2025-06-08 0.162591 0.277730 0.480245 0.879208 1.688258 3.355198 7.344344
2025-06-15 0.156665 0.271252 0.476032 0.886923 1.738301 3.536559 7.971571
2025-06-22 0.148434 0.260048 0.462315 0.874739 1.745654 3.626042 8.389651
2025-06-29 0.141726 0.251240 0.452486 0.869510 1.767145 3.748840 8.908151
2025-07-06 0.131504 0.235270 0.428045 0.832605 1.716606 3.702808 8.987232
2025-07-13 0.127644 0.231120 0.426112 0.842171 1.769470 3.901888 9.741138